According to experts from TradingShot, Bitcoin is in the weakest bull cycle phase in history, but this does not prevent analysts from expecting significant growth of the cryptocurrency. According to their forecast, the peak of the current cycle may occur at the end of 2025, when the value of BTC will reach the range of $150,000 to $200,000.
Analysts rely on the theory of diminishing returns, which suggests that as the market matures, the growth rate gradually decreases. If in the early stages of its existence, Bitcoin demonstrated rapid growth, then the latest cycles are characterized by more restrained dynamics.
TradingShot analyzed the development of BTC during four previous bullish phases: 2009-2011, 2012-2013, 2015-2017, and 2019-2021. The last two cycles are of greatest interest, as they demonstrated similar trajectories with temporary deviations that eventually returned to the main growth trend.
The current phase, according to analysts, is moving within an ascending channel. It is expected that after a temporary deviation that occurred in February 2025, the price will again align with the historical trend. The recent six-week growth also confirms this scenario.
TradingShot suggests that the most likely period for reaching the price maximum is from October to December 2025. During this time, Bitcoin, according to the analysis, can rise to $ 200,000.
Another crypto trading expert, Geert van Lagen, is also optimistic about the future of BTC. He points out that Bitcoin continues to move along an exponential trajectory that has already taken it from $1 to over $100,000. Van Lagen notes recurring growth patterns, including cup-and-handle formations, which have historically heralded a continuation of the bullish trend. If similar conditions continue, there is a chance that the real cycle high could exceed current levels by three to six times. At the same time, he emphasizes that Bitcoin's growth has ceased to be linear and has become more complex, which should also be taken into account when predicting future movements.