In June 2025, the confrontation between Iran and Israel escalated into full-scale hostilities. Both countries have long been in a state of conflict, but the current escalation has become the most serious in the history of their tense relations. Israel sees Iran as a threat to its existence, including because of its support for the "Axis of Resistance" and the development of a nuclear program.
The escalation began on June 13, when Israel launched massive airstrikes on targets in Iran, eliminating high-ranking representatives of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. In response, Iran launched hundreds of missiles at Israeli cities. Donald Trump, the current US President, said that American forces have complete control over the airspace over Iran and demanded Tehran's unconditional surrender, despite Washington's previous promises not to interfere.
Amid these events, Bitcoin demonstrated increased volatility. First, its price fell to $102,600, then there was a rollback and an attempt to break through the $109,000 level. However, on the evening of June 16, the cryptocurrency went down again and reached $103,375, after which it stabilized around $105,430.
Like other high-risk assets, Bitcoin reacts sharply to geopolitical instability. In times of such crises, investors often prefer to transfer funds to more reliable assets such as gold.
The crypto community is discussing the future prospects of BTC. Many believe that due to the conflict, the chances of the upward trend continuing have decreased. Market participants attach particular importance to the actions of the United States: the possible involvement of America in the war could increase pressure on the markets. Trump's statements about control over Iran are causing anxiety among crypto investors.
On the other hand, there are also optimistic opinions. According to Michael van de Poppe, the most important factor for Bitcoin remains the Fed's decision on the interest rate, not military action. He recalled that before the regulator's meetings, the BTC rate often updates local minimums. At the same time, Donald Trump continues to insist on lowering the rate, which could increase the attractiveness of cryptocurrencies.
Analysts like Lark Davis and Willy Woo also believe that the situation in the Middle East will not be able to slow down the growth of Bitcoin. They point to a reduction in BTC reserves on exchanges, which could provoke a deficit and spur price growth. Woo believes that the cryptocurrency is close to the final phase of the bull cycle.
Finally, MartyParty expert emphasized that the situation has shown the importance of cryptocurrencies for people, especially in places where access to the traditional financial system is difficult.