The number of new markets on the platform increased by 21.4% and reached a record 7,990, which indicates an expansion of the Polymarket theme. Previously, the platform was mainly focused on political events, but now the range of issues has become much wider.
At the same time, the number of active traders decreased by 9.4%, amounting to 242,000 users. This is almost half the peak value of 462,000, which was recorded in January. Analysts at The Block explain this discrepancy between the growth of trading volume and the reduction in audience by changes in the behavior of market participants: the remaining traders began to make larger bets.
Average trading volume per user increased from $2,700 in January to $4,800 in June, indicating deeper involvement by a small group of experienced participants.
Earlier in March, an expert estimated the accuracy of Polymarket's forecasts at 94%. However, journalist Colin Wu later reported that one of the platform's major players was manipulating the markets.
Thus, Polymarket continues to attract attention both due to increased activity and expansion of themes, and due to the concentration of trading in the hands of more experienced traders, despite the decline in the number of active users.