Ripple and the Future of XRP in October 2025
Date: 2025-10-02 Author: Oliver Abernathy Categories: CRYPTO PAYMENTS
In October, the Ripple token is approaching a key moment: the technical picture points to a likely breakout, and institutional investor interest is laying the foundation for potential growth.
September 2025 proved to be a landmark month for XRP. Institutional investments reached $210 million, despite a mid-month price drop. Major players not only held onto the token but also moved it from exchanges to cold wallets. Such a move typically signals an intention to hold the asset long-term.
According to Ricardo Santos of Mansa, retail traders were the cause of September's volatility. The massive use of leverage forced them to close positions when the price declined. Institutional investors, on the other hand, used this moment to accumulate.
Over the last week of the month, more than 439 million XRP, worth approximately $1.2 billion, were withdrawn from trading platforms. This indicates growing confidence in the asset and easing selling pressure.
Historical data shows that October is traditionally a weak month for XRP. Over the past ten years, the average return was -4.5%, making it one of the token's worst months.
However, Santos believes that the situation could be different in 2025. In his view, the key differences from previous years are the resolution of Ripple's legal dispute with the SEC, the emergence of real transactions with tokenized assets on the XRP Ledger network, and the pending decisions on ETF applications. These factors could offset the usual weakness in October.
At the beginning of October, XRP has consolidated at $2.87 and is moving within a descending wedge. If the price manages to break resistance at $3.02, it could pave the way for a rally to $3.61, close to the all-time high of $3.66.
This upside scenario is supported by institutional interest and the likelihood of ETF approval. New SEC rules, which eliminate the requirement for a futures market before the launch of spot funds, increase XRP's chances of approval.
However, downside risk remains. If a breakout fails, the price could fall below $2.75 and test $2.64, which would once again confirm October's historical vulnerability.
Analysts estimate that if institutional activity continues, XRP could reach $5-$10 by the end of 2025. However, volatility will remain high, requiring traders to exercise caution.
Thus, October will be a test for XRP: either it will repeat its historical decline or, thanks to institutional support and ETFs, it will break its long-term trend.
