ARK Invest: Bitcoin's December Growth Factors
Date: 2025-11-28 Author: Henry Casey Categories: CRYPTO PAYMENTS
ARK Invest noted that the return of liquidity to markets and further easing of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy could have a positive impact on the price of the leading cryptocurrency in December. According to analysts, liquidity reached a multi-year low of $5.56 trillion on October 30, driven by the 43-day US shutdown, which led to an outflow of $621 billion. Since the government reopened, approximately $70 billion has already returned to the market, with another $300 billion expected to return over the next five to six weeks.
A key factor remains the high level of the Treasury account – $892 billion versus the usual level of approximately $600 billion, indicating that significant liquidity is ready to re-enter the economy. The coincidence of these conditions with expectations of an interest rate cut creates a favorable backdrop for investors: the probability of such a scenario is estimated at 84.9%.
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood emphasized that liquidity pressures limiting market growth should ease in the coming weeks. Despite recent corrections and the growing popularity of stablecoins, she maintains a bullish outlook for Bitcoin. In the optimistic scenario, BTC could reach $1 million by 2030, while in the baseline scenario, it could reach $650,000.
On November 27, BTC surpassed $91,000 after falling to its lowest level since April, around $80,000. Analysts at QCP Capital attribute the recovery to improved risk appetite: the stock market is rising, and the likelihood of monetary policy easing remains high. However, pressure from the Federal Reserve has not disappeared: many members of the regulator remain neutral or oppose a rate cut.
Key macro data, such as weekly jobless claims and the ADP report, could impact market dynamics. Risks also remain from Strategy's possible delisting from the S&P 500 and continued outflows from spot ETFs. Since the beginning of November, these funds have lost $3.5 billion, the second-worst performance since their launch.
The options market is cautious: major players are forecasting a sideways move for BTC and don't expect it to rise above $120,000 by the end of the year. A break of $95,000 could trigger ETF-related selloffs, while the $80,000-$82,000 zone remains key support after the recent correction.
At press time, Bitcoin is trading near $90,700, and K33 analysts call the current price level suitable for a long-term buy.
