Standard Chartered Lowers Bitcoin Price Forecast to $100,000 in 2025
Date: 2025-12-10 Author: Gabriel Deangelo Categories: CRYPTO PAYMENTS
Standard Chartered Bank has updated its Bitcoin price forecast, lowering its 2025 target from $200,000 to $100,000, Decrypt reports, citing the organization's official report. The primary reason for the decline was changes in institutional investor behavior. Bank analyst Jeffrey Kendrick noted that active buying through treasury-backed trading firms (DATs) has "exhausted itself," and the adoption of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is slower than expected. Experts believe ETFs remain a key factor influencing Bitcoin's price dynamics.
According to the report, capital flow into ETFs has slowed sharply amid global economic conditions. Specifically, in Q4 2025, inflows totaled only 50,000 BTC—the lowest level since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs. By comparison, in the same period in 2024, including DAT purchases, they reached 450,000 BTC.
As a result of the revised forecasts, the bank also lowered its expectations for subsequent years: for 2026, the target level was $150,000 instead of $300,000, for 2027—$225,000 instead of $400,000, and for 2028—$300,000 instead of $500,000. The $500,000 target, according to Kendrick, will now likely only be reached by 2030.
The expert emphasized that the traditional four-year cycle model is no longer applicable to Bitcoin: "The situation is radically different now." We believe the crypto winter is a thing of the past."
It's worth noting that Standard Chartered isn't the only one to revise its forecast. BitMine's CEO also lowered his Bitcoin price expectations, estimating its value in 2025 at $100,000 or higher.
Thus, despite the slowdown in institutional demand and lowered forecasts, experts continue to see potential in Bitcoin, although its growth is now expected to be more gradual and drawn out.
